Internet Users in India to Double by 2021: Cisco VNI
Digital transformation will continue to drive IP traffic in India with the projected increase in Internet users from 373 million in 2016 to 829 million or 59 percent of the Indian population in 2021 .
In addition, there will be 2.0 billion networked devices in 2021, up from 1.4 billion in 2016 and the overall IP traffic is expected to grow 4-fold from 2016 to 2021, a CAGR of 30 percent and reach 6.5 Exabytes of data per month in 2021, up from 1.7 Exabytes per month in 2016, according to the release of the Cisco Visual Networking Index (VNI) Complete Forecast.
According to the report, M2M connections will represent 22 percent of the total 2 billion devices and connections and will account for five percent of IP traffic by 2021. Advancements in IoT applications such as smart meters, package tracking, digital health monitors and a host of other next-generation M2M services is driving this incremental growth—nearly 21 percent increase in the next five years.
Video will continue to dominate IP traffic and overall Internet traffic growth—representing 76 percent of all Internet traffic in 2021, up from 57 percent in 2016. India will reach 84 billion Internet video minutes per month by 2021, which is one hundred and sixty thousand years of video per month, or about thirty two thousand video minutes every second.
Sanjay Kaul, MD, Service Provider Business, Cisco India & SAARC, said: “Mobile networks, devices and connections in India are not only getting smarter in their computing capabilities but are also evolving from lower-generation network connectivity (2G) to higher-generation network connectivity (3G, 3.5G, and 4G or LTE).
"Combining device capabilities with faster, higher bandwidth and more intelligent networks is leading to wide adoption of high bandwidth data, video and advanced multimedia applications that contribute to increased mobile and Wi-Fi traffic.”
He added: “We are witnessing a burgeoning rise in usage of mobile applications and connectivity by end users. The need for optimized bandwidth management, network automation, e2e security and ultimately network monetization through cost efficient data production is fuelling the growth of network automation, mass market 4G deployments and adoption, soon to be followed with 4.5G and 5G.
"Service providers around the world are busy architecting their networks to be more autonomous and capable of handling high bandwidth to help them meet the growing end-users demand for more bandwidth, higher security, and faster connectivity on the move. Many providers have also started field trials for 5G and are gearing towards rolling out 5G deployments towards the end of the VNI forecast period.”
India Internet growth and trends:
1. Increase in Internet Users, devices and connections
• In India, there will be 829 million total Internet users (59 percent of population) in 2021, up from 373 million (28 percent of population) in 2016.
• In India, there will be 2.0 billion networked devices in 2021, up from 1.4 billion in 2016.
2. Increase in IP traffic and Internet traffic
• In India, Consumer Internet video traffic will reach 3.0 Exabytes per month in 2021, the equivalent of 756 million DVDs per month, or 1 million DVDs per hour.
• In India, Consumer Internet video traffic was 535 Petabytes per month in 2016, the equivalent of 134 million DVDs per month, or 183,261 DVDs per hour.
• In India, Internet video traffic will be 77 percent of all consumer Internet traffic in 2021, up from 58 percent in 2016.
• In India, Internet traffic will grow 4.0-fold from 2016 to 2021, a CAGR of 32 percent.
• In 2021, the gigabyte equivalent of all movies ever made will cross the Internet every 54 minutes.
• Indian Internet traffic in 2021 will be equivalent to 291x the volume of the entire Indian Internet in 2005.
3. Increase in per capita usage
• In India, IP traffic will reach 5 Gigabytes per capita in 2021, up from 1 Gigabytes in 2016.
4. Internet users and faster broadband speed
• In India, the average fixed broadband speed will grow 2.8-fold from 2016 to 2021, from 6.6 Mbps to 18.2 Mbps
5. Increase in mobile, Internet video
• In India, mobile data traffic will grow 7-fold from 2016 to 2021, a CAGR of 49 percent.
• In India, mobile data traffic in 2021 will be equivalent to 88x the volume of the entire Indian Internet in 2005.
• In India, IP video will be 83 percent of all IP traffic in 2021, up from 69 percent in 2016.
• In India, Internet video traffic will grow 5-fold from 2016 to 2021, a CAGR of 40 percent.
• In India, total Internet video traffic (business and consumer, combined) will be 76 percent of all Internet traffic in 2021, up from 57 percent in 2016.
• In India, HD will be 51.4 percent of Internet video traffic in 2021, up from 12 percent in 2016 (87.9 percent CAGR).
• In India, 84 billion minutes (159,201 years) of video content will cross the Internet each month in 2021. That's 31,840 minutes of video streamed or downloaded every second
• In India, Internet video traffic will grow 5-fold from 2016 to 2021, a CAGR of 40 percent.
6. Increase in networked devices
• In India, there will be 2.0 billion networked devices in 2021, from 1.4 billion networked devices in 2016, and 1.3 billion in 2015.
• In India, 67 percent of all networked devices will be mobile-connected in 2021.
7. Growth in Internet video and gaming traffic
• In India, Internet video traffic will be 77 percent of all consumer Internet traffic in 2021, up from 58 percent in 2016.
• In India, gaming traffic will grow 7-fold from 2016 to 2021, a CAGR of 49 percent.
Regional IP traffic growth details
• APAC: 107.7 exabytes/month by 2021, 26 percent CAGR, 3.2-fold growth
• North America: 85 exabytes/month by 2021, 20 percent CAGR, 2.5-fold growth
• Western Europe: 37.4 exabytes/month 2021, 22 percent CAGR, 2.7-fold growth
• Central Europe: 17.1 exabytes/month by 2021, 22 percent CAGR, 2.75-fold growth
• Latin America: 12.9 exabytes/month by 2021, 21 percent CAGR, 2.6-fold growth
• Middle East and Africa: 15.5 exabytes/month by 2021, 42 percent CAGR, 5.8-fold growth.
